Wednesday, September 09, 2009

NFL PICKS WEEK 1

JOHN AND I ARE BACK TO PICKING EVERY GAME WITH THE POINTS THIS YEAR. HERE THEY ARE FOR WEEK ONE.


1.)PITTSBURG AT HOME -5 OVER TENNESSEE

Mike Tomlin has the Steelers focused & they are returning 21 of 22 starters. Jeff Fisher will make up for the loss of Haynesworth with a rotation, but this game promises to be a braw. Five points is a lot especially in a game dominated by defense and power. That being said, I'll the Steelers

2.)ATLANTA AT HOME -4 OVER MIAMI

Atlanta has lost veteran defensive leadership, but head coach Mike Smith has a positive track record to overcome it. I am hard pressed to think of just how the Dolphins improved in the off season. The "wildcat" is a fad and old news and can they rely on Chad Pennington to give two straight solid seasons at QB?
Matt Ryan is only getting better and the defense are either young,untalented or both in the defensive backs. I'll take the Falcons

3.)BALTIMORE AT HOME -10 OVER KANSAS CITY

It has yet to be determined if Matt Cassell will start for the Chiefs this week.It doesn't matter. In fact, it would probably be best if he sat against that Ravens defense and avoided further injury. The Ravens will run all over this team and the Chiefs offense will be on its back the spare moments its actually on the field.
I'll take the Ravens

4.)PHILADELPHIA AT CAROLINA -1 OVER CAROLINA

It pains me to recognize that this a horrible opening start for the Eagles. No effective middle linebacker, a rookie safety against a power running Panthers team and a veteran WR like Steve Smith exploiting rookie safety coverage on play action. If the Eagles can control the clock on offense and keep Donovan upright, they can win, but not in the first week. I'll take the Panthers

5.)CINCINNATI AT HOME -4 OVER DENVER

This may be an ugly high scoring affair. Who can run the ball more effectively? I simply just don't trust the Bengals with four points. I'll take the Broncos to cover

6.)MINNESOTA AT CLEVELAND -4 OVER CLEVELAND

This is a joke, right? Just four points? I know it's in Cleveland, but they've got nothing. Was Eric Mangini really creating a competetive edge by not announcing whether Quinn or Anderson is the starting QB? I'll take the Vikings to treat the Browns like a medieval monastery and annihilate them.

7.)HOUSTON TEXANS AT HOME -4.5 OVER THE JETS

This is an intriguing matchup. The Texans have the DL & the LB, but not DB's. The Jets have an OL, a running game and a rookie QB. The Texans have Andre Johnson & Steve Slaton, but can't block for QB Matt Schaub against a Jets defense that is going to be a lot more aggressive under Rex Ryan. I'll take the Jets

8.)INDIANAPOLIS AT HOME -7 OVER JACKSONVILLE

Historically, the Jags have given the Colts fits, but they can't block & I don't think can keep Garrard healthy. The Colts are getting younger. The Jags are running out of steam. I'll take the Colts

9.)NEW ORLEANS AT HOME -13 OVER DETROIT

This game can only be intriguing if the Saints historically porous defense lets the Lions run the ball and control the clock. As promising as Stafford may be at QB, the Saints should score at will on Detroit and their defense can get to Stafford as well. I'll take the Saints

10.)DALLAS AT TAMPA -5 OVER TAMPA BAY

People are down on the Bucs with some good reason. CAn the Bucs run successfully against the Cowboys defense? Five points are too many. I'll take the BUCS to cover.

11.)ARIZONA AT HOME -6.5 OVER SAN FRANCISCO.

Frank Gore is healthy and Mike Singletary will force the run. But Shaun Hill at QB? Arizona will get the ball often enough to score and unless Gore unloads on a suspect Cardinal defense, I'll take the Cardinals

12.)NEW YORK GIANTS AT HOME -6.5 OVER REDSKINS

Six and a half points in an NFC EAST game? In a game without Plaxico and no offensive playmakers on the Redskins. This game has 3-2 written all over it. I'll take the REDSKINS to cover

13.)SEATTLE AT HOME -7.5 OVER ST. LOUIS

Are the Seahawks really back? Can Steve Spagnola get better play out of his defense? I'll take the RAMS to cover

14.)GREEN BAY AT HOME -3.5 OVER CHICAGO.

That's too many points in this historic rivalry. I'll take the BEARS

15.)NEW ENGLAND AT HOME -10.5 OVER BUFFALO

The Bills have no OL and no shot. I'll take the PATRIOTS to obliterate the BILLS on national television.

16.)SAN DIEGO AT OAKLAND -9 OVER OAKLAND

This is a rivalry, but a poor one of late. How bad does it get for Oakland? Richard Seymour hasn't spoken, much less appeared. I'll take the CHARGERS

1 comment:

John said...

I would have also taken the Steelers. A great game none the less.

Falcons
Ravens
Panthers
Bengals
Vikings
JETS
Colts
Lions
Cowboys
Cardinals
Giants
Seahawks
Packers
Patriots
Chargers

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